7 Steps to Build a Reliable and Stress-Free Hotel Forecast
Stop guessing your demand. Learn the simple 7-step guide to hotel forecasting to build reliable budgets, optimize your pricing, and take control of your revenue.
Did you know that almost 20% of hotels rooms booked online are cancelled before the guest arrives? (Source: Phocuswire)
That’s 1 of every 5 bookings you get!
It not only directly impacts the revenue, but also leads to poor marketing, since Online Travel Agencies keep track of cancellations drawn by a hotel.
Before we move on to the rescue plan, here’s why cancellations are worth talking about:
Any room that’s vacant in a hotel is probably a loss-making entity for the day. You don’t need advanced math skills to understand the relation between last minute cancellations or no-shows and revenue. Even when you’re able to sell the room again, it would probably be at a lower rate.
If you do need a refresh as to the metrics you should be using to evaluate performances, check out our list of the top Hospitality KPIs.
Just like Google’s search results, OTA listings work best for properties listed on the first page.
Although OTAs promote initiatives like ‘free cancellations’, they can significantly impact your rankings, and in turn, the overall sales and revenue.
If you're considering listing your hotel on more OTA channels to improve your online presence (here's more info on the Billboard Effect and how being on more channels improves direct bookings), I recommend you check out our very popular list of the 10 Best Online Travel Agencies to connect to.
With HotelMinder, match with vetted hotel experts to solve your operational problems.
If a ‘done deal’ isn’t done in time, you need to start from scratch again. Last minute cancellations and no-shows lead to extra work, more so, under stress and pressure.
Use insights from guest data to understand key parameters that affect conversion. Analytics can let you know the exact reasons for cancellation. Types of rooms, days of the week, an event nearby etc. could be factors in increased cancellations.
Guests sometimes make multiple bookings well in advance, only to cancel all but one a day or two before the arrival date. Try to make sure you’re the one that’s not cancelled. Stay in touch!
In certain countries, fraudulent bookings are a matter of concern. These are often made to get visas, sometimes they are parts of clever and fraudulent schemes. Keep a check on such customers, primarily travelling from countries with stringent visa policies into your country.
As per a study from Mirai, cancellations from a hotel’s website amount to only 19% as compared to 39% on Booking.com and 25% on Expedia over a 4-month period.
Due to longer lead time and the lack of loyalty to a specific hotel, OTAs often have a higher cancellation rate.
However, they also bring business. Though you should list your property on OTAs, it’s also important to keep track of other properties in the listing page to understand what they’re doing right and how you could leverage that information to reduce cancellations at your property.
Things come up. Circumstances change. Plans get disrupted and bookings gets cancelled. It happens all the time. But there are different types of cancellations:
"Last minute cancellations", also called "late cancellation" is a cancellation that happens after the property specific cancellation policy has expired.
While cancellations happen all the time, late cancellations can often enough be avoided. To learn more about last minute reservations, read: Everything you need to know about: Hotel Overbooking, No-Show and Last Minute Cancellation.
By now, you must have understood how cancellations and no-shows impact your revenue. So here comes the rescue plan: read our top tips that could help improve the overall customer experience and engagement to reduce cancellations!
With 15+ years of experience in supporting hoteliers in optimizing their operations and launching innovative hotels around the world, Benjamin Verot (a.
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