7 Steps to Build a Reliable and Stress-Free Hotel Forecast
Stop guessing your demand. Learn the simple 7-step guide to hotel forecasting to build reliable budgets, optimize your pricing, and take control of your revenue.
Online travel agents (OTAs) form an integral part of your distribution mix. The balance may have tilted in favour of direct bookings as the leisure segment leads the recovery from COVID-19, but don’t underestimate the value OTAs bring, despite their cost (a.k.a. commissions).
However, like every other business, now is the time to drive up efficiency – in hotel speak, REVPAR. This means finding the sweet balance between direct and OTA bookings by focusing on driving up the former yet leveraging the reach of the latter. Let’s see a few ways you can achieve this.

Before you embark on a mission to reduce your OTA spend, calculate what your OTA commissions are here. Assess for the value (not just volume) of bookings brought in by the OTAs. This cost versus value should determine what role OTAs play in your distribution mix.
Commissions can be an emotional issue for hoteliers. No one likes to pay out their hard-earned money. However, direct is just one point in the booking journey of a guest. You can optimise for it and try to get more direct bookings, but you can never replace it. Key reason guests prefer OTAs for bookings is because of the choice they offer – and that factor is here to stay.
Instead spend time understanding your audience and their online booking journey through tools such as website analytics or insights from your channel manager and property management system (PMS). Place yourself in each of the relevant channels on this journey, optimising each to drive up revenue.
It is important to understand that a direct channel may be commission-free, but it is not free. There are booking engine and marketing costs to consider. Similar to OTAs, assess the cost of this channel versus the value of bookings it brings to define its share in your distribution mix.

OTAs win over customers with their smart and omnipresent marketing techniques. While you cannot remove or replicate them from this space, you can set up smaller-spend campaigns.
Some other digital marketing activities to focus on are social media and search marketing. Remember, user experience on your website is a marketing tool too; the better your site, experience, the more click-throughs you could get.
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The best way to get repeat business from your customers is by building up loyalty amongst guests and encouraging word of mouth marketing. When guests trust and like you, they are more likely to book directly. Simply communicating with them, either face to face or through email after their stay, could do the trick. You can, for example, offer them special deals or rewards programs if they book their next stay directly through them.
In a soon-to-be cookie-less world, first-party data – i.e. your customer database in your PMS or CRM – are crucial for smarter growth.
A guest could come to your website from any channel or platform. If you fail to engage them and they go elsewhere to book, that’s a gap you need to fill and work on your conversion rate.

Is your website optimised for mobile? Are you offering a personalised experience based on your understanding of the guest, especially if it is a repeat customer? Is it easy to book on your website? Are you using your website to sell value-added experiences? Are payments secure? Is online check-in enabled?
In an interconnected digital world, how you look at your channels cohesively is what matters. Don’t look at rates and bookings from a transactional view, i.e. guest acquisition cost of a single booking. Instead switch your view to relational, i.e. what is the lifetime value of a guest. You may have acquired him through an OTA but grown and increased his value via direct channels.
What matters most is your channel mix. Each channel has its singular characteristics. Hotels must be keenly aware of these qualities and harness them accordingly. The ultimate goal is a channel mix that provides the strongest demand at the highest rates, most consistently and at the lowest distribution cost. Make this all possible with the right technology.
STAAH, part of The Access Group, is a cloud-based technology platform designed for accommodation providers to maximize their online revenue through seamless channel management and direct booking solutions.
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